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Hydrogeological Factors Behind Recurring Flooding in Kosi-Gandak Doab

Analysis of landscape connectivity and anthropogenic impacts on flood dynamics in the Kosi-Gandak interfan region

Fluvial Geomorphologist

Landscape Connectivity in Kosi-Gandak Interfan

Key Concepts

1. Hydrologic Connectivity:
  - Spatial-temporal linkages between landscape units
  - Controls sedimentation rates and ecological functions
  - Harvey (2002), Jain and Tandon (2010)

2. Disconnectivity Drivers:
  - Embankments and transportation infrastructure
  - Changing land-use patterns
  - Groundwater overexploitation

Anthropogenic Pressures Impact Assessment

Land Use Changes:

  • 78% wetland conversion to agriculture (2006-2023)
  • Double cropping in marginal wetland areas

Infrastructure Effects:

  • East-west highways disrupting north-south drainage
  • Railway embankments blocking natural channels

Water Management:

  • Groundwater depletion (2.1m/year decline)
  • Surface water diversion for irrigation

Flood Dynamics Analysis

Connectivity Indices (2006)

  • Pre-Monsoon IC Formula: IC = -3.0174 * NDVI + 1.372
  • Post-Monsoon IC Formula: IC = -2.4888 * NDVI + 1.329
  • Pre-Monsoon r²: 0.972
  • Post-Monsoon r²: 0.987

Key Findings

Embankment Breaching:

  • 2007 Burhi Gandak breach reset system connectivity.
  • Created new sediment distribution patterns.

Vegetation Impact:

  • C-factor ranges: 0 (vegetated) to 1 (barren).
  • NDVI-based regression limitations:
    • Cannot account for management practices.
    • Ignores senescent vegetation.

Mitigation Strategies

Restoration:

  • Reconnect 35 priority channels.
  • Create buffer zones around Kaabar Tal.

Policy:

  • Wetland protection legislation.
  • Sustainable groundwater extraction limits.

Monitoring:

  • High-resolution hydrological sensors.
  • Seasonal connectivity mapping.
Hydrological connectivity patterns in Kosi-Gandak interfan (2006)