Hydrogeological Factors Behind Recurring Flooding in Kosi-Gandak Doab
Analysis of landscape connectivity and anthropogenic impacts on flood dynamics in the Kosi-Gandak interfan region
Landscape Connectivity in Kosi-Gandak Interfan
Key Concepts
1. Hydrologic Connectivity:
- Spatial-temporal linkages between landscape units
- Controls sedimentation rates and ecological functions
- Harvey (2002), Jain and Tandon (2010)
2. Disconnectivity Drivers:
- Embankments and transportation infrastructure
- Changing land-use patterns
- Groundwater overexploitation
Anthropogenic Pressures Impact Assessment
Land Use Changes:
- 78% wetland conversion to agriculture (2006-2023)
- Double cropping in marginal wetland areas
Infrastructure Effects:
- East-west highways disrupting north-south drainage
- Railway embankments blocking natural channels
Water Management:
- Groundwater depletion (2.1m/year decline)
- Surface water diversion for irrigation
Flood Dynamics Analysis
Connectivity Indices (2006)
- Pre-Monsoon IC Formula: IC = -3.0174 * NDVI + 1.372
- Post-Monsoon IC Formula: IC = -2.4888 * NDVI + 1.329
- Pre-Monsoon r²: 0.972
- Post-Monsoon r²: 0.987
Key Findings
Embankment Breaching:
- 2007 Burhi Gandak breach reset system connectivity.
- Created new sediment distribution patterns.
Vegetation Impact:
- C-factor ranges: 0 (vegetated) to 1 (barren).
- NDVI-based regression limitations:
- Cannot account for management practices.
- Ignores senescent vegetation.
Mitigation Strategies
Recommended Measures
Restoration:
- Reconnect 35 priority channels.
- Create buffer zones around Kaabar Tal.
Policy:
- Wetland protection legislation.
- Sustainable groundwater extraction limits.
Monitoring:
- High-resolution hydrological sensors.
- Seasonal connectivity mapping.
